Justified Posteriors

The Most Important Philosophical Treatise of the 21st Century?

Justified Posteriors Critiques the Anthropic Constitution

Apr 7 • Andrey Fradkin and Seth Benzell

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1:27:51

March 2026

Alex Imas - Demand Collapse, Bargaining with Machines, and Behavioral AI Economics

University of Chicago behavioral economist Alex Imas joins us for a conversation on AI, economic growth, behavioral economics, and the future of…

Mar 23 • Andrey Fradkin, Seth Benzell, and Alex Imas

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1:33:41

The Economics of Book Slop

Justified Posteriors reads “AI and the Quantity and Quality of Creative Products” by Imke Reimers and Joel Waldfogel

Mar 10 • Seth Benzell and Andrey Fradkin

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1:07:55

February 2026

Noah Smith on Blogging, AI Economics, and Elite Overproduction

We sit down with prominent blogger and economist Noah Smith to dig into the disconnect between AI hype and current macroeconomic reality.

Feb 24 • Andrey Fradkin and Seth Benzell

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6

1:30:14

Basil Halperin: Leading Indicators for TAI, Conditions for the Singularity, and Tax Policy at the End of History

Justified Posteriors Interview Basil Halperin, Assistant Professor at University of Virginia

Feb 9 • Seth Benzell, Andrey Fradkin, and Basil Halperin

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1:29:28

The Consensus Bottleneck: Why AI Won't Automate Organizations as Fast as It Automates Code

A common theme in discussions about AI and productivity is what happens after we’ve automated coding.

Feb 4 • Andrey Fradkin

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January 2026

Can an AI Interview You Better Than a Human?

Watch now | Voice AI in Firms: A Natural Field Experiment on Automated Job Interviews

Jan 26 • Andrey Fradkin and Seth Benzell

5

1:00:56

Why Can’t Your AI Agent Book a Flight?

The Argument for Facilitating and Legally Protecting Agentic Access Online

Jan 16 • Andrey Fradkin and Alex Imas

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Anecdotes from AI Supercharged Science

Justified Posteriors reads "Early Science Acceleration Experiments with GPT-5"

Jan 13 • Seth Benzell and Andrey Fradkin

6

1:07:13

One year of justifying our posteriors

For the past year, Seth Benzell and I have been running a particular type of experiment on ourselves with Justified Posteriors, our podcast.

Jan 11 • Andrey Fradkin

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December 2025

Ben Golub: AI Referees, Social Learning, and Virtual Currencies

And yes, we talk about eigenvalues and cow-tipping!

Dec 29, 2025 • Andrey Fradkin and Seth Benzell

6

1:16:13

The Best Books Seth Read in 2025

How advice about murderous dads explains the difference between the U.S. and China

Dec 26, 2025 • Seth Benzell

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